Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000115 0.000127 0.000139 0.000154 0.000169 0.000187 0.000206
2026-01-18 0.000093 0.000110 0.000130 0.000154 0.000184 0.000219 0.000263
2026-01-25 0.000078 0.000097 0.000121 0.000152 0.000192 0.000242 0.000310
2026-02-01 0.000068 0.000089 0.000116 0.000152 0.000201 0.000267 0.000360
2026-02-08 0.000060 0.000081 0.000109 0.000149 0.000206 0.000285 0.000403
2026-02-15 0.000054 0.000074 0.000103 0.000146 0.000209 0.000299 0.000441
2026-02-22 0.000049 0.000071 0.000101 0.000147 0.000218 0.000323 0.000496
2026-03-01 0.000046 0.000068 0.000100 0.000150 0.000229 0.000351 0.000559
2026-03-08 0.000042 0.000063 0.000095 0.000146 0.000230 0.000363 0.000597
2026-03-15 0.000038 0.000058 0.000090 0.000141 0.000228 0.000370 0.000628
2026-03-22 0.000036 0.000056 0.000088 0.000143 0.000236 0.000394 0.000690
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000055 0.000087 0.000144 0.000245 0.000419 0.000758
2026-04-05 0.000032 0.000052 0.000084 0.000142 0.000248 0.000436 0.000814
2026-04-12 0.000030 0.000050 0.000082 0.000143 0.000255 0.000462 0.000891
2026-04-19 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000141 0.000258 0.000479 0.000952
2026-04-26 0.000026 0.000045 0.000078 0.000141 0.000264 0.000503 0.001031
2026-05-03 0.000024 0.000043 0.000075 0.000138 0.000265 0.000518 0.001093
2026-05-10 0.000023 0.000040 0.000072 0.000135 0.000264 0.000529 0.001147
2026-05-17 0.000022 0.000039 0.000071 0.000136 0.000273 0.000559 0.001250
2026-05-24 0.000021 0.000038 0.000071 0.000139 0.000284 0.000597 0.001375
2026-05-31 0.000020 0.000036 0.000068 0.000135 0.000282 0.000607 0.001432
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000034 0.000065 0.000131 0.000278 0.000608 0.001472
2026-06-14 0.000017 0.000033 0.000064 0.000132 0.000286 0.000641 0.001594